{"id":30608,"date":"2023-06-16T11:30:49","date_gmt":"2023-06-16T15:30:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/?p=30608"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:25:24","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T15:25:24","slug":"early-weekend-box-office-report-the-flash-strikes-for-9-7m-domestic-previews-remains-on-track-for-60-70m-debut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/early-weekend-box-office-report-the-flash-strikes-for-9-7m-domestic-previews-remains-on-track-for-60-70m-debut\/","title":{"rendered":"Early Weekend Estimates: THE FLASH Trending Lower at $55M+ Debut as ELEMENTAL Eyes $30M+"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Saturday Report: <\/strong>Warner Bros. is updating this morning with a full opening day estimate of $24.5 million for <em>The Flash<\/em>, including Friday and all previews from Monday and Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That figure falls shy of <em>Black Adam<\/em>&#8216;s $26.7 million full first day gross last fall, despite <em>Flash<\/em>&#8216;s inclusion of multiple preview grosses and the benefit of summer when kids are out of school.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though Father&#8217;s Day remains a consideration for projections, these results indicate growing likelihood to miss the low end of final forecasts that called for at least $60 million over the weekend. Those bearish ranges were already considerably down from where the film had been tracking at more bullish levels throughout the spring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The film&#8217;s audience score sits at 85 percent on Rotten Tomatoes as of Saturday morning. The studio has not provided an early projection, but we&#8217;re estimating a $58 million three-day frame on the domestic front for <em>The Flash.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, Disney and Pixar&#8217;s <em>Elemental<\/em> opened to $11.8 million on Friday, including $2.4 million from previews. That&#8217;s 24 percent off <em>Lightyear<\/em>&#8216;s $15.5 million first day on the same weekend last summer. The film&#8217;s audience score sits at 91 percent this morning, with 75 percent of critics giving it a fresh rating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We&#8217;re currently estimating $32 million for <em>Elemental<\/em>&#8216;s opening frame, in line with final forecasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remaining openers include <em>The Blackening<\/em>, which bowed to $2.55 million with previews included. This weekend should register over $6 million for the three-day portion leading into Juneteenth on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the specialty front, Wes Anderson&#8217;s <em>Asteroid City<\/em> pulled $350,000 from six locations in Los Angeles and New York. Focus Features projects a weekend of $720,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among key holdovers, <em>Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse<\/em> added $8.125 million yesterday as Sony projects a third frame of $30 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Transformers: Rise of the Beasts<\/em> took in $5.25 million to begin its second frame and has a shot at over $20 million this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rounding out the top five, <em>The Little Mermaid<\/em> earned another $3.7 million yesterday. A weekend north of $13 million looks likely at this stage, though double feature plays with <em>Elemental<\/em> could skew projections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Friday Update: <\/strong>Reports from Warner Bros. have this weekend&#8217;s <em>The Flash<\/em> zipping to $9.7 million from domestic previews, including Monday&#8217;s &#8220;Fan First&#8221; Imax screenings and traditional Thursday previews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The studio has not officially detailed what portion of that gross came from Thursday alone, though it is safely assumed to be the lion&#8217;s share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among comparable films, here&#8217;s how that early result stands up:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>28 percent ahead of <em>Transformers: Rise of the Beasts<\/em> ($7.6 million from all previews)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>44 percent behind <em>Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse<\/em> ($17.35 million from Thursday)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>29 percent ahead of <em>Fast X<\/em> ($7.5 million from Thursday)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>45 percent behind <em>Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3<\/em> ($17.5 million from all previews)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>28 percent ahead of <em>Black Adam<\/em> ($7.6 million from Thursday)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>45 percent behind <em>The Batman<\/em> ($17.6 million from all previews)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>25 percent behind <em>Justice League<\/em> ($13 million from Thursday)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>For the weekend, Father&#8217;s Day Sunday continues to be a factor worth watching as some backloading to offset the typical frontloaded nature of comic book movies is possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Critics&#8217; reviews have been mixed at 67 percent approval on Rotten Tomatoes, while the site&#8217;s audience score stands at 87 percent approval as of Friday morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, <em>The Flash<\/em>&#8216;s preview grosses position the film far from prior long range expectations and are more in line with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/weekend-box-office-forecast-the-flash-elemental-and-the-blackening-debut-for-fathers-day-and-juneteenth-frame\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">final forecasts<\/a> projecting an opening weekend over $60 million.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saturday Report: Warner Bros. is updating this morning with a full opening day estimate of $24.5 million for The Flash, including Friday and all previews from Monday and Thursday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":30612,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/news-api.apple.com\/sections\/dfac7ee9-acf9-449e-b214-8115882b64d6"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,24],"tags":[3171,119,4877,400,120,4657,5093,3834,4873,4995,813],"class_list":["post-30608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-tracking","category-newsanalysis","tag-dceu","tag-disney","tag-elemental","tag-lionsgate","tag-pixar","tag-spider-man-across-the-spider-verse","tag-the-blackening","tag-the-flash","tag-the-little-mermaid","tag-transformers-rise-of-the-beasts","tag-warner-bros"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30608\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}