{"id":34968,"date":"2024-08-30T11:52:30","date_gmt":"2024-08-30T15:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/?p=34968"},"modified":"2024-09-10T11:06:55","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T15:06:55","slug":"long-range-forecast-the-wild-robot-megalopolis-close-out-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-the-wild-robot-megalopolis-close-out-september\/","title":{"rendered":"Long Range Forecast: THE WILD ROBOT, MEGALOPOLIS Close Out September"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe to our\u00a0<strong><em>FREE<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Long Range Forecast \u2014 September 27, 2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Wild Robot | Universal Pictures<br>Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $20M &#8211; $30M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Q3 will close with a pair of very different films vying to close out September with enough momentum to lead into an exciting October slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DreamWorks Animation&#8217;s<em> The Wild Robot<\/em>, released by Universal Pictures, will be looking to unseat <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-can-transformers-one-score-the-highest-september-opening-for-an-animated-film\/\" title=\"\">Transformers One<\/a><\/em> from the number one spot in this frame. Releasing<em> The Wild Robot <\/em>so soon after the debut of another family-targeted animated film is a bold move from Universal, compounded by the <em>Transformers<\/em> franchise&#8217;s still-strong name recognition. It also indicates Universal&#8217;s confidence in the film, which is based on a multi-award-winning children&#8217;s book series about a robot (voiced by Lupita Nyong&#8217;o) who is shipwrecked on a deserted island and develops a mother-child bond with an orphaned gosling. The trailer\u2014which debuted at CinemaCon earlier this year\u2014was well-received by those in attendance, drawing comparisons to 1999&#8217;s animated tearjerker <em>The Iron Giant<\/em>. (That film, now regarded as an animated classic, famously flopped at the box office; with the proliferation of social media in the subsequent 25 years, <em>The Wild Robot <\/em>should have an easier time generating positive word-of-mouth.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among DreamWorks&#8217; top ten opening weekends, only two\u20142008&#8217;s<em> Kung Fu Panda <\/em>($60.2M) and 2015&#8217;s <em>Home<\/em> ($52.1M)\u2014belong to non-sequels. <em>Home<\/em>, like <em>The Wild Robot<\/em>, is based on a children&#8217;s book and was released near the tail end of a relatively slow month at the box office. (March, in <em>Home<\/em>&#8216;s case.) <em>The Wild Robot <\/em>will be DreamWorks&#8217; second-ever September debut, following <em>Abominable<\/em>, which opened to $20.6M in 2019 and eventually topped out at $61.2M domestically. (In a piece of scheduling synchronicity, <em>Abominable<\/em> came out the same day of the month as <em>The Wild Robot<\/em>\u2014September 27\u2014and was followed one week later by the first <em>Joker<\/em> movie).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DreamWorks Animation Top Opening Weekends<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>Shrek the Third<\/em> (2007) $121.6M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Shrek 2<\/em> (2004) $108M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Shrek Forever After <\/em>(2010) $70.8M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa <\/em>(2008) $63.1M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Madagascar 3: Europe\u2019s Most Wanted <\/em>(2012) $60.3M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Kung Fu Panda<\/em> (2008) $60.2M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Monsters vs. Aliens <\/em>(2009) &#8211; $59.3M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Kung Fu Panda 4<\/em> (2024) $57.9M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World<\/em> (2019) $55M<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Home<\/em> (2015) $52.1M<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking beyond DreamWorks, other recent late September\/early October animated releases include 2023&#8217;s <em>PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie<\/em> (September 21; $22.7M domestic opening, $65.2M domestic total), 2021&#8217;s<em> The Addams Family 2<\/em> (October 1; $17.3M domestic opening, $56.4M domestic total), and 2018&#8217;s <em>Smallfoot<\/em> (September 28; $23M domestic opening, $83.2M domestic total). If <em>The Wild Robot<\/em> opens above $48.4M, it will snag the record for best opening for an animated September release from 2016&#8217;s <em>Hotel Transylvania 2<\/em>\u2014unless, that is, <em>Transformers One<\/em> sets a new record in the interim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"THE WILD ROBOT | Official Trailer\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/67vbA5ZJdKQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Megalopolis | Lionsgate<br>Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $4M &#8211; $8M<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>At long last, Francis Ford Coppola&#8217;s long-in-development passion project <em>Megalopolis<\/em> hits theaters the same weekend as <em>The Wild Robot,<\/em> hoping to draw in the cinephile crowd as a counterpart to <em>The Wild Robot<\/em>&#8216;s targeted family audience. Working against Coppola&#8217;s latest are middling reviews following its Cannes debut (54% positive on Rotten Tomatoes as of this writing), a career lull (in the last 15 years he&#8217;s directed only two features, <em>Distant Vision <\/em>and <em>Twixt<\/em>, both critically lambasted); and a marketing push marred by controversy\u2014including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/film\/article\/2024\/may\/14\/has-this-guy-ever-made-a-movie-before-francis-ford-coppola-40-year-battle-megalopolis\" title=\"\">alleged sexually inappropriate behavior by Coppola on the set <\/a>and the use of fake (seemingly AI-generated) critics&#8217; quotes in a trailer, <a href=\"https:\/\/variety.com\/2024\/film\/news\/lionsgate-pulls-megalopolis-trailer-offline-fake-critic-quotes-1236114337\/\" title=\"\">which Lionsgate later pulled<\/a>. The general negativity surrounding <em>Megalopolis<\/em> in the weeks leading up to its release could repel curious filmgoers, leaving only die-hards to catch it on opening weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the film&#8217;s side are a blockbuster cast and a confirmed run on Imax screens. Even the cast, stacked as it is, is no guarantee of audience interest. Star Adam Driver, despite his <em>Star Wars<\/em> fame, has failed to launch high-concept sci-fi before (2023&#8217;s <em>65<\/em>; $12.3M domestic opening, $32M domestic total), and a Coppola movie having a strong ensemble cast (which, in <em>Megalopolis<\/em>, includes Nathalie Emmanuel, Giancarlo Esposito, Aubrey Plaza, Jon Voight, Laurence Fishburne, Jason Schwartzman, and Shia LaBeouf) is by no means a guarantee of box office success, illustrated most infamously by 1990&#8217;s <em>The Godfather Part III.<\/em> If <em>Megalopolis<\/em> crosses $5M on opening weekend, it will be the first time a Coppola-helmed film has done so since 2000&#8217;s <em>Supernova<\/em> ($6.7M domestic opening, $14.2M domestic total).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Megalopolis - Official Trailer (2024) Adam Driver, Giancarlo Esposito, Aubrey Plaza\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/j9_nPeKnpfE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tracking Updates [as of 8\/29]<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Release Date<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Title<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Opening Weekend Range<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Distributor<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8\/30\/24<\/td><td><em><em>Beetlejuice Beetlejuice<\/em><\/em><\/td><td>$100 \u2013 $130M<\/td><td>Warner Bros.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9\/6\/24<\/td><td><em><em>Speak No Evil<\/em><\/em><\/td><td>$15 \u2013 $20M<\/td><td>Universal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9\/13\/24<\/td><td><em>The Killer&#8217;s Game<\/em><\/td><td>$4 \u2013 $8M<\/td><td>Lionsgate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9\/13\/24<\/td><td><em>Transformers One<\/em><\/td><td>$40 &#8211; $50M<\/td><td>Paramount<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Boxoffice Pro is the world\u2019s leading reference in box office forecasts and reports, reaching 98% of decision-makers in theatrical exhibition.&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Our complete forecasting reports are updated weekly by our Boxoffice Forecasting Panel, which consists of industry professionals and leading executives representing exhibition, distribution, and premium large-format vendors. Full reports are available to all active National Association of Theatre Owners members and select industry clients.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>To learn how to receive our complete forecasting solutions, please get in touch with&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:sales@boxoffice.com\">sales@boxoffice.com<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Subscribe to our\u00a0FREE\u00a0email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news. Long Range Forecast \u2014 September 27, 2024 The Wild Robot | Universal PicturesDomestic Opening Weekend Range: $20M &#8211; $30M Q3 will close with a pair of very different films vying to close out September with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":34973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"apple_news_api_created_at":"2024-08-30T15:52:39Z","apple_news_api_id":"5a684816-d875-4ecc-9716-51f10eececa3","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2024-08-30T15:52:39Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AWmhIFth1TsyXFlHxDuzsow","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,25],"tags":[5561,5501],"class_list":["post-34968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-tracking","category-numbers","tag-megalopolis","tag-the-wild-robot"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34968"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34968\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}