{"id":37730,"date":"2025-03-28T12:34:48","date_gmt":"2025-03-28T16:34:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/?p=37730"},"modified":"2025-03-31T10:26:43","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T14:26:43","slug":"long-range-forecast-the-legend-of-ochi-the-accountant-2-until-dawn-close-out-a-quiet-april","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-the-legend-of-ochi-the-accountant-2-until-dawn-close-out-a-quiet-april\/","title":{"rendered":"Long Range Forecast: THE LEGEND OF OCHI, THE ACCOUNTANT 2, UNTIL DAWN Close Out a Quiet April"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe to our&nbsp;<strong><em>FREE<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https:\/\/share.transistor.fm\/e\/8bb6319c\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-long-range-forecast-april-25-2025\">Long Range Forecast \u2014 April 25, 2025<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-legend-of-ochi-a24\"><em>The Legend of Ochi<\/em> | A24<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-domestic-opening-weekend-range-6m-10m\">Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $6M \u2013 $10M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>April comes to a close with a varied trio of releases\u2014the first, <em>The Legend of Ochi<\/em>, a family-skewing title from A24 that draws on fantasy and adventure elements. With no direct competition in its vicinity, it could be a solid contender in its release window. As a film based on an original concept a debut writer\/director (Isaiah Saxon), <em>Ochi<\/em> will have to rely on marketing and word-of-mouth to drum up awareness\u2014particularly given that PG-rated family titles are not exactly the norm for A24, which is best known for horror titles and awards contenders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In terms of comps, non-animated, family-targeted PG movies have been relatively thin on the ground over the last decade, with the exception of Disney&#8217;s run of high-profile, heavily-marketed remakes\u2014the latest of which, <em>Disney&#8217;s Snow White<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/weekend-box-office-snow-white-wakes-up-to-43m-debut\/\">failed to meet the lowest end of our opening forecasting range<\/a>. This lack of recent non-franchise, live-action children&#8217;s fare could serve as a plus for <em>Ochi<\/em> if A24 can capitalize on parents&#8217; nostalgia for some of the older titles they grew up with. Among newer films, Relativity Media&#8217;s<em> Earth to Echo<\/em>\u2013about a group of kids who find and befriend a robot alien\u2014opened to $8.3M during a crowded summer 2014, topping out at $38.9M. Two years later, Paramount released <em>Monster Trucks<\/em> ($33.3M domestic total)\u2014about a teenage boy who befriends an oil-guzzling monster who lives inside a truck\u2014to $10.9M in mid-January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Legend of Ochi | Official Trailer HD | A24\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_jTFLg3arYU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-accountant-2-amazon-mgm\"><em>The Accountant 2<\/em> | Amazon\/MGM<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-domestic-opening-weekend-range-30m-40m\">Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $30M \u2013 $40M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Director Gavin O&#8217;Connor is back for the sequel to <em>The Accountant<\/em>, with stars Ben Affleck and Jon Bernthal returning as a math savant-turned-assassin and his assassin brother, respectively. The first movie, released by Warner Bros. in October 2016, opened to $24.7M and rode moderate drops to a domestic total of $86.2M. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In terms of comps, Affleck also co-starred in the 2023 sports\/business drama <em>Air<\/em> ($14.4M domestic opening, $52.4M domestic total), like <em>The Accountant 2 <\/em>an April Amazon\/MGM release and a bona fide Dad Movie\u2122. Other recent crime thriller sequels aimed at an adult male audience include 2016&#8217;s <em>Jack Reacher: Never Go Back <\/em>($22.8M domestic opening, $58.6M domestic total); 2014&#8217;s <em>Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit <\/em>($15.4M domestic opening, $50.5M domestic total); 2018&#8217;s <em>Sicario:<\/em> <em>Day of the Soldado<\/em> ($19M domestic opening, $50M domestic total); and, from January of this year, <em>Den of Thieves: Pantera<\/em> ($15M domestic opening, $36M domestic total).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Accountant 2 | Official Trailer\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/3wRCOqyDI6E?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-until-dawn-sony\"><em>Until Dawn<\/em> | Sony<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-domestic-opening-weekend-range-8m-12m\">Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $8M \u2013 $12M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Directed by <em>Shazam! <\/em>and <em>Shazam! Fury of the Gods<\/em>&#8216; David F. Sandberg, this adaptation of the 2015 horror game of the same name looks to complement the Spring slate, though a lack of marketing could seriously hinder its box office performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sandberg has experience in the horror genre, having previously helmed 2017&#8217;s <em>Annabelle: Creation<\/em> ($35M domestic opening, $102M domestic total) and 2016&#8217;s <em>Lights Out (<\/em>$21.6M domestic opening, $67.2M domestic total). Our forecasting for <em>Until Dawn <\/em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">i<\/span>s more modest, partly because of the string of horror releases hitting theaters both in the weeks immediately before (<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-a-working-man-the-woman-in-the-yard-death-of-a-unicorn-close-out-march\/\">The Woman in the Yard<\/a><\/em>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-warfare-king-of-kings-drop-the-amateur-give-counter-programming-options-to-mid-april-moviegoers\/\">Drop<\/a><\/em>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-can-sinners-bring-new-life-to-april-box-office\/\">Sinners<\/a><\/em>) and immediately after (<em>Final Destination: Bloodlines<\/em>) its debut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a horror video game adaptation, <em>Until Dawn<\/em> lacks the high anticipation level enjoyed by <em>Five Nights at Freddy&#8217;s <\/em>($80M domestic opening, $137.2M domestic total) in the weeks leading up to its release. Though horror video game adaptations have a long history at the box office\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/video-game-movies-sonic-hedgehog-resident-evil-mortal-kombat-box-office-history\/\">Sony\/Screen Gems&#8217; <em>Resident Evil<\/em> was for many years the most commercially successful video game movie franchise<\/a>\u2014the genre has (with the exception of <em>FNAF<\/em>) lost steam as of late, with the two most recent <em>Resident Evil <\/em>movies (2021&#8217;s <em>Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City<\/em>; $5.3M domestic opening, $17M domestic total and 2017&#8217;s <em>Resident Evil: The Final Chapter<\/em>; $13.6M domestic opening, $26.8M domestic total) underperforming compared to the rest of the franchise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"UNTIL DAWN \u2013 Official Movie Trailer (HD)\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2b3vBaINZ7w?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-tracking-updates-as-of-march-28\">Tracking Updates [as of March 28]<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Release Date<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Title<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Opening Weekend Range<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Distributor<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3\/28<\/td><td><em>A Working Man<\/em><\/td><td>$10M &#8211; $15M<\/td><td>Amazon\/MGM<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3\/28<\/td><td><em>The Woman in the Yard<\/em><\/td><td>$5M &#8211; $7M<\/td><td>Universal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3\/28<\/td><td><em>Death of a Unicorn<\/em><\/td><td>$10M &#8211; $15M<\/td><td>A24<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/4<\/td><td><em>A Minecraft Movie<\/em><\/td><td>$60M &#8211; $75M<\/td><td>Warner Bros.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/4<\/td><td><em>The Chosen: Last Supper &#8211; Part Two<\/em><\/td><td>$3M &#8211; $4M <\/td><td>Fathom Entertainment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/11<\/td><td><em>Warfare<\/em><\/td><td>$12M &#8211; $18M<\/td><td>A24<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/11<\/td><td><em>The King of Kings<\/em><\/td><td>$8 &#8211; $12M<\/td><td>Angel Studios<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/11<\/td><td><em>The Amateur<\/em><\/td><td>$10M &#8211; $15M<\/td><td>20th Century Studios<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/11<\/td><td><em>Drop<\/em><\/td><td>$10M &#8211; $15M<\/td><td>Universal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4\/18<\/td><td><em>Sinners<\/em><\/td><td>$40M &#8211; $50M<\/td><td>Warner Bros.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Subscribe to our&nbsp;FREE&nbsp;email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news. Long Range Forecast \u2014 April 25, 2025 The Legend of Ochi | A24 Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $6M \u2013 $10M April comes to a close with a varied trio of releases\u2014the first, The Legend of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":37739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,25],"tags":[5730,5728,5729],"class_list":["post-37730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-tracking","category-numbers","tag-the-accountant-2","tag-the-legend-of-ochi","tag-until-dawn"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37730"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37730\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}