{"id":38486,"date":"2025-04-23T16:14:10","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T20:14:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/?p=38486"},"modified":"2025-04-30T13:32:40","modified_gmt":"2025-04-30T17:32:40","slug":"weekend-preview-sinners-looking-to-keep-top-spot-over-accountant-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/weekend-preview-sinners-looking-to-keep-top-spot-over-accountant-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekend Preview: SINNERS Looking to Keep Top Spot Over ACCOUNTANT 2"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-boxoffice-podium\">The Boxoffice Podium<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-forecasting-the-top-3-movies-at-the-domestic-box-office-april-25-27-2025\">Forecasting the Top 3 Movies at the Domestic Box Office | April 25 \u2013 27, 2025<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-week-17-april-25-27-2025\">Week 17 | April 25 \u2013 27, 2025<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-sinners-warner-bros-week-2-weekend-range-27m-35m-showtime-marketshare-12\">1. Sinners<br>Warner Bros. | Week 2<br>Weekend Range: $27M \u2013 $35M<br>Showtime Marketshare: 12%<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pros<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Theaters can look forward to a strong finish to April, with another weekend that looks to be more promising than expected, led by the surprise smash that is <em>Sinners<\/em>. An original R-rated genre movie with a predominantly African American cast coming out of the gate with a $45M+ debut was already a reason to celebrate, but then Monday actuals shot to $48M over Sunday&#8217;s original estimates of $45.6M. Strong walk-up business, premium formats, and stellar reviews are driving sales. At the same time, director Ryan Coogler has proven he&#8217;s his own commercial brand, more than capable of delivering hits outside of established IPs. We are expecting a stellar sophomore frame in the high-twenties to mid-thirties, but we could be looking at a number closer to $40M come Sunday if those premium screens maintain their occupancy rates through the weekend.  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cons<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Amazing reviews? Massive over-indexing? A likely week-over-week drop well under -50%? We&#8217;re seeing very little downside here. It already has a $7.8M Monday (besting event title Mondays for <em>World War Z<\/em> and <em>Beetlejuice Beetlejuice<\/em>) and $8.6M Tuesday for a current domestic total of $64.4M which makes it the #1 horror title of 2025. It&#8217;s also gunning to easily shoot past last year&#8217;s #1 original horror title <em>Longlegs <\/em>($74.3M) before the weekend. We could very well see <em>Sinners<\/em> cross the century mark to $100M+ by Sunday. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-the-accountant-2-amazon-mgm-new-weekend-range-22m-28m-showtime-marketshare-13\">2. The Accountant 2<br>Amazon\/MGM | NEW<br>Weekend Range: $22M \u2013 $28M<br>Showtime Marketshare: 13%<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pros<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Amazon&#8217;s long-in-development sequel <em>The Accountant 2<\/em> has all the original components (stars Ben Affleck and Jon Bernthal, director Gavin O&#8217;Connor, writer Bill Dubuque), which is always a great place to start when building a franchise. The fact that the first movie has been surging in popularity on streaming is another good omen. Reviews are pretty solid with 80% on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rottentomatoes.com\/m\/the_accountant_2\">Rotten Tomatoes<\/a>, so expect this one to rock the 35+ quadrants in its debut. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cons<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>While the first <em>Accountant <\/em>movie was a modest hit, audiences might have already gotten their fill of the nerdy assassin thing with 20th Century&#8217;s <em>The Amateur<\/em>, which has already grossed $64.6M globally.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-a-minecraft-movie-warner-bros-week-4-weekend-range-20m-25m-showtime-marketshare-14\">3. A Minecraft Movie<br>Warner Bros. | Week 4<br>Weekend Range: $20M \u2013 $25M<br>Showtime Marketshare: 14%<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pros<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>With $725.66M banked worldwide, <em>A Minecraft Movie<\/em>&#8216;s next big magic trick will be to cross the $1 billion mark. Can it do it? If it keeps dropping at -50% increments it would in theory make another $50M-$60M or so domestically over the next five weeks, and since international is keeping pace with North America it could be another $60M there for about an $850M haul. However, drops tend to get smaller on titles like this, even as theater counts dwindle (it lost 257 screens last weekend), so the big &#8220;B&#8221; is not entirely out of the question. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cons<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>Sinners<\/em> may have jumped several million for Monday actuals, but <em>Minecraft<\/em> went the other way with a Frame 3 take of $40.4M after $41.3M Sunday estimates. As with the last two frame drops, we&#8217;re staring down the barrel of another tumble in the area of -50% on this one, which has a rival video game adaptation in Sony&#8217;s <em>Until Dawn<\/em> (no reviews yet, but <a href=\"https:\/\/gamefragger.com\/playstation\/ps4\/role_playing\/until-dawn\/until-dawn-first-reactions-hail-it-as-the-most-delightfully-ingenious-horror-film-of-the-year-a27218\">positive early social reactions<\/a>) hitting theaters this week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wild-card\"><strong>WILD CARD<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-star-wars-episode-iii-revenge-of-the-sith-lucasfilm-new-reissue-weekend-range-18m-23m-showtime-marketshare-11\">Star Wars: Episode III &#8211; Revenge of the Sith<br>Lucasfilm | NEW\/Reissue<br>Weekend Range: $18M \u2013 $23M<br>Showtime Marketshare: 11%<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pros<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Last year&#8217;s May re-release of <em>The Phantom Menace<\/em> did better than expected, pulling in $8.7M Frame 1 to land at #2, ultimately tallying $13.4M total over four weeks. That&#8217;s on top of the roughly $44M Episode I made during its 3-D re-release in 2012 for a lifetime total of $1.046B. This week sees the third part of George Lucas&#8217; prequel saga <em>Revenge of the Sith<\/em> getting a 20th anniversary reissue that has been doing amazing pre-sale numbers and could sneak into the Top 3 by Sunday. <em>Revenge<\/em> is the sixth highest-grossing entry in the Star Wars series, just under <em>Phantom Menace<\/em> but above the original 1977 film. Given how front-loaded last year&#8217;s Episode I revival was, <em>Sith<\/em> is getting a one-week-only theatrical release which may boost the need-to-see factor, especially for its debut in the immersive 4DX format plus an exclusive poster by graphic artist Matt Ferguson.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cons<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It&#8217;s hard to generate phenomenal excitement for a two-decade old movie which has been perpetually available on every form of home media. Despite initial plans to release all six of the Lucas-era Star Wars pictures in 3-D during the early 2010&#8217;s, nothing but <em>Phantom Menace <\/em>has ever been reissued except during sporadic Skywalker Saga marathons. While <em>Revenge of the Sith<\/em> ($848.9M WW) did better in its initial run than <em>Attack of the Clones <\/em>($656.69M), there is still a certain degree of ill will towards the prequels on behalf of Gen X and older generations who grew up on the Original Trilogy. Luckily for this movie, there is now a younger group of parents who grew up on Episodes I-III that can take their children (who have been exposed to prequel-era characters thanks to current Disney+ shows like <em>Ahsoka<\/em>) to experience it on the big screen. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boxoffice Podium Forecasting the Top 3 Movies at the Domestic Box Office | April 25 \u2013 27, 2025 Week 17 | April 25 \u2013 27, 2025 1. SinnersWarner Bros. | Week 2Weekend Range: $27M \u2013 $35MShowtime Marketshare: 12% Pros Cons 2. The Accountant 2Amazon\/MGM | NEWWeekend Range: $22M \u2013 $28MShowtime Marketshare: 13% Pros Cons [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":38502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[5705,5727,5730],"class_list":["post-38486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-tracking","tag-a-minecraft-movie","tag-sinners","tag-the-accountant-2"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38486\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38502"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}