{"id":38892,"date":"2025-05-23T12:27:16","date_gmt":"2025-05-23T16:27:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/?p=38892"},"modified":"2025-05-28T16:52:37","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T20:52:37","slug":"long-range-forecast-can-how-to-train-your-dragon-fly-to-a-100m-debut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/long-range-forecast-can-how-to-train-your-dragon-fly-to-a-100m-debut\/","title":{"rendered":"Long Range Forecast: Can HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Fly to a $100M Debut?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe to our&nbsp;<strong><em>FREE<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-transistor wp-block-embed-transistor\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Memorial Day Box Office Preview | CineLATAM\" width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/share.transistor.fm\/e\/87b4d148#?secret=kE0T9COcx7\" data-secret=\"kE0T9COcx7\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-long-range-forecast-june-13-2025\">Long Range Forecast \u2014 June 13, 2025<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-to-train-your-dragon-universal\"><em>How to Train Your Dragon<\/em> | Universal<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-domestic-opening-weekend-range-80m-100m\">Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $80M \u2013 $100M<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The beloved family series <em>How to Train Your Dragon <\/em>returns to theaters with a live action adaptation, directed by Dean DeBlois, director\/co-director of all three films in the animated trilogy. (DeBlois also co-directed the animated <em>Lilo &amp; Stitch<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/weekend-preview-mission-impossible-and-lilo-stitch-tracking-for-memorial-day-record\/\">the live-action remake of which is poised for a record-breaking Memorial Day opening weekend<\/a>.) The franchise, which last hit the big screen with 2019&#8217;s <em>How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World<\/em>, has kept going with a trio of animated TV shows and a handful of short films, plus several video games and &#8220;How to Train Your Dragon: Isle of Berk,&#8221; a section of Universal&#8217;s Epic Universe theme park in Orlando, Florida that opened to the public just yesterday. A Super Bowl trailer helped kickstart the marketing campaign for the film, which opens a week ahead of Disney\/Pixar&#8217;s <em>Elio<\/em>\u2014a factor that should help its opening frame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Plenty of animated classics have gotten live-action (or photorealistic animation) remakes in recent years, but they&#8217;ve all been from Disney, which makes <em>How to Train Your Dragon<\/em> something of an unknown quantity. Still, the original trilogy never saw a massive drop-off in terms of box office receipts, which\u2014combined with the aforementioned non-film iterations of the franchise\u2014bodes well for this live-action version. (See below: though the trilogy experienced diminishing returns domestically, higher international totals bring <em>How to Train Your Dragon 2<\/em> to the top of the heap globally, with <em>The Hidden World<\/em> coming in second.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td>Release Date<\/td><td>Domestic Opening<\/td><td>Domestic Total<\/td><td>International Total<\/td><td>Global Total<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>How to Train Your Dragon<\/td><td>3\/26\/10<\/td><td>$43.7M<\/td><td>$217.5M<\/td><td>$277.2M<\/td><td>$494.8M<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>How to Train Your Dragon 2<\/td><td>6\/13\/14<\/td><td>$49.4M<\/td><td>$177M<\/td><td>$444.5M<\/td><td>$621.5M<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World<\/td><td>2\/22\/19<\/td><td>$55M<\/td><td>$160.7M<\/td><td>$361M<\/td><td>$521.7M<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>An opening weekend in the $80M &#8211; $100M range would put <em>How to Train Your Dragon<\/em> in the realm of animation-turned-live action films <em>The Little Mermaid<\/em> ($95.5M domestic opening, $298.1M domestic total) and <em>Aladdin<\/em> ($91.5M domestic opening, $355.5M domestic total), both from Disney. Another appropriate comp\u2014like <em>How to Train Your Dragon<\/em>, a mix of live-action and CGI\u2014might be the three <em>Sonic the Hedgehog<\/em> films, which have opened to $58.M ($148.9M domestic total), $72.1M ($190.8M domestic total), and $60.1M ($236.1M domestic total), respectively. Or there&#8217;s Universal&#8217;s animated <em>Kung Fu Panda <\/em>series, which has followed a similar release pattern to <em>Dragon<\/em>\u2014film one in 2008 for <em>Panda<\/em>\/2010 for <em>Dragon<\/em>, followed by two sequels apiece spread throughout the 2010s with a fourth film (a new animated installment for <em>Panda<\/em>, a live-action remake for <em>Dragon<\/em>) in the mid-2020s\u2014and thus could be aiming to attract similar age groups. <em>Kung Fu Panda 4<\/em> opened to $57.9M last March en route to a $193.5M domestic total; <em>How to Train Your Dragon<\/em>, not being entirely animated, might enjoy more cross-quadrant appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Trailer 3 (2025)\" width=\"798\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/odGp3NlQfc0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-tracking-updates-as-of-may-23\">Tracking Updates [as of May 23]<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>5\/23<\/td><td><em>Mission: Impossible &#8211; The Final Reckoning<\/em><\/td><td>$60M &#8211; $70M (3-Day)<br>$75M &#8211; $90M (4-Day)<\/td><td>Paramount<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5\/23<\/td><td><em>Friendship<\/em> (Wide)<\/td><td>$3M &#8211; $5M<\/td><td>A24<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5\/23<\/td><td><em>Lilo &amp; Stitch<\/em><\/td><td>$160M &#8211; $185M (3-Day)<br>$185M &#8211; $230M (4-Day)<\/td><td>Disney<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5\/23<\/td><td><em>The Last Rodeo<\/em><\/td><td>$3M &#8211; $5M<\/td><td>Angel Studios<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5\/30<\/td><td><em>Karate Kid: Legends<\/em><\/td><td>$28M &#8211; $38M<\/td><td>Sony \/ Columbia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5\/30<\/td><td><em>Bring Her Back<\/em><\/td><td>$4M &#8211; $6M<\/td><td>A24<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6\/6<\/td><td><em>From the World of John Wick: Ballerina<\/em><\/td><td>$35M &#8211; $45M<\/td><td>Lionsgate<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Subscribe to our&nbsp;FREE&nbsp;email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news. Long Range Forecast \u2014 June 13, 2025 How to Train Your Dragon | Universal Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $80M \u2013 $100M The beloved family series How to Train Your Dragon returns to theaters with a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":38951,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[3287],"class_list":["post-38892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forecasts-tracking","tag-how-to-train-your-dragon"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38892","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38892"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38892\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.boxofficepro.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}